The market moved

+0.3ppin 24h · now

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on June 5?

Weather · resolves Jun 5 · vol $1.8K

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 1¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.3pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 2.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.