The market moved
+2.5ppin 24h · now 40¢
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 1?
Weather · resolves Jun 1 · vol $518.35
Why
Probability rose modestly up to 40¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 6.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.