The market moved

-0.4ppin 24h · now

Will Khamenei post 60+ posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Other · resolves Jun 5 · vol $124.22

Why

Probability fell slightly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 0.4pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.