The market moved
+25.0ppin 24h · now 52¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on June 3?
Weather · resolves Jun 3 · vol $206.65
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 52¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 25.0pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 17.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.