The market moved
+77.5ppin 24h · now 97¢
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on June 5?
Weather · resolves Jun 5 · vol $4.6K
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 97¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 77.5pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 0.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.