The market moved
-14.4ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 3?
Weather · resolves Jun 3 · vol $405.50
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.4pp shift. Resolution depends on wunderground.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: wunderground.com — https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 13.0h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.