The market moved

-25.5ppin 24h · now 55¢

Will Macy's (M) beat quarterly earnings?

Macro · resolves Jun 3 · vol $590.22

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 55¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 25.5pp shift. Resolution depends on to the non-gaap eps figure reported by seekingalpha — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.