Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 49¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.0pp shift. Resolution depends on mlb.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: MLB.com.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.