The market moved
+10.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $420 on June 1?
Business · resolves Jun 1 · vol $111.47
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 10.4pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
Resolution status: proposed — verify before treating this as news.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- UMA resolution status is "proposed". Source-risk is non-trivial — a move that unwinds on settlement isn't really news.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.