The market moved
-10.2ppin 24h · now 87¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $440 on June 2?
Business · resolves Jun 2 · vol $1.4K
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 87¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 10.2pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.