The market moved
-50.4ppin 24h · now 0¢
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $470 on January 21?
Business · resolves Jan 21 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 50.4pp shift. Resolution depends on split-adjusted prices as displayed on yahoo finance — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance — https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/MSFT/history.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.