The market moved

-3.8ppin 24h · now 11¢

Will NYC Mayor post 0-19 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Politics · resolves Jun 9 · vol $89.18

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 11¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 3.8pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.