The market moved
+0.6ppin 24h · now 5¢
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 5 · vol $155.73
Why
Probability rose slightly up to 5¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.6pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.