The market moved
-2.4ppin 24h · now 2¢
Will NYC Mayor post 60-79 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 5 · vol $15.15
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 2¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on polymarket post counter (tracker) — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: Polymarket Post Counter (tracker) — https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.