The market moved

+2.5ppin 24h · now 48¢

Will the fight be won by submission?

Sports · resolves Jun 7 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose modestly up to 48¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 2.5pp shift. Resolution depends on official ufc data — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Official UFC data.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 38.7h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.