The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 100¢

Will 100 million Americans have received at least one 'booster shot' of the COVID-19 vaccine by May 1?

Science · resolves May 1 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the cdc covid tracker, by the resolution time, may 1, 2022, 11 pm et — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: the CDC COVID tracker, by the resolution time, May 1, 2022, 11 PM ET — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#vaccinations_vacc-total-admin-rate-total.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.