The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now

Will a hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 U.S. states in October?

Weather · resolves Oct 31 · vol $0.00

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on an initial announcement released by noaa that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous united states within — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: an initial announcement released by NOAA that a hurricane has made landfall within the conterminous United States within — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.