Will a major hurricane make landfall in the lower 48 states before September 15?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to official advisories reported by the national hurricane center — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to official advisories reported by the National Hurricane Center — https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.