The market moved
+5.9ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will any Democratic senator vote for government funding bill by Friday?
Geopolitics · resolves Mar 14 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose decisively up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 5.9pp shift. Resolution depends on nato — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: nato — https://thehill.com/homenews/house/5189141-house-republicans-pass-government-funding-bill/.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.