Will any US state report a record high 7-day COVID-19 case average before January 1, 2022?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the most recent previous check that had data available — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: the most recent previous check that had data available — https://covid.cdc.gov/covid-data-tracker/#trends_dailytrendscases.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.