The market moved
-7.5ppin 24h · now 78¢
Will "Caissie Levy" win Best Leading Actress in a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Other · resolves Jun 7 · vol $133.73
Why
Probability fell decisively down to 78¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 7.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.tonyawards.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.