The market moved
-14.0ppin 24h · now 49¢
Will Donald Trump dance on June 14, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jul 1 · vol $9.90
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 49¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 14.0pp shift. Resolution depends on video footage — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: video footage.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.