Will Hans Niemann finish top 3 in the U.S. Chess Championship?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on uschesschamps.com — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: uschesschamps.com — https://www.uschesschamps.com/2022-us-championships/pairings-results).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.