Will Joe Biden’s approval rating be higher than his disapproval rating on any day in 2022?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to the most recent available approval ratings — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the most recent available approval ratings — https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.