Will Joe Biden's RCP job approval rating on January 21 be 41.2% or less?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on data published for the day of january 21 2022 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: data published for the day of January 21 2022 — https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/president-biden-job-approval-7320.html.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.