The market moved
-16.0ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will Morgan Stanley (MS) Q2 investment banking revenue be above $2.35B?
Business · resolves Jul 14 · vol $30.00
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 16.0pp shift. Resolution depends on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.