Will Orbán flip Magyar for Next Hungary PM by Jan 31?

Why

Probability fell modestly down to 0¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.6pp shift. Resolution depends on to the price scoring methodology of derivative — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: to the price scoring methodology of derivative — https://polymarket.com/event/next-prime-minister-of-hungary).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.