The market moved
-35.0ppin 24h · now 32¢
Will "Ragtime" win Best Revival of a Musical at the 2026 Tony Awards?
Other · resolves Jun 7 · vol $50.78
Why
Probability fell sharply down to 32¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 35.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting — https://www.tonyawards.com/).
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
- Market resolves in 13.4h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.