The market moved

+0.0ppin 24h · now 83¢

Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Politics · resolves Jun 5 · vol $332.10

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 83¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on parliament.uk — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: parliament.uk — https://www.parliament.uk/visiting/visiting-and-tours/watch-committees-and-debates/prime-ministers-questions/).
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 36.5h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.