The market moved

+11.0ppin 24h · now 86¢

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 26, 2026?

AI · resolves Jul 31 · vol $614.52

Why

Probability rose sharply up to 86¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 11.0pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.