The market moved

-23.5ppin 24h · now

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by June 5, 2026?

AI · resolves Jul 31 · vol $319.89

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 23.5pp shift. Resolution depends on consensus of credible reporting — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: consensus of credible reporting.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.