Will the price of a barrel of crude oil be $80 or more on October 3, 2022? (NOV 2022 Future)

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on cme / nymex official futures price — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: CME / NYMEX official futures price — https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.settlements.html).
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.