The market moved
+51.4ppin 24h · now 100¢
Will Trump say "North Carolina" during the State of the Union address?
Politics · resolves Feb 24 · vol $0.00
Why
Probability rose sharply up to 100¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 51.4pp shift. Resolution depends on mikejohnson.house.gov — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: mikejohnson.house.gov — https://mikejohnson.house.gov/news/documentsingle.aspx?DocumentID=2812.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.