The market moved
-1.0ppin 24h · now 6¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be between 37.5 and 37.9 on June 5, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 5 · vol $321.79
Why
Probability fell slightly down to 6¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 1.0pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on june 5, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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