The market moved
-2.4ppin 24h · now 1¢
Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on June 5, 2026?
Politics · resolves Jun 5 · vol $227.00
Why
Probability fell modestly down to 1¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 2.4pp shift. Resolution depends on to silver bulletin's approval rating for donald trump on june 5, 2026 — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.
What to verify
- Cross-check the resolution source: to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 5, 2026 — https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin.
- Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
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