Will weekly jobless claims exceed 265k for the week ending on August 13?

Why

Probability rose slightly up to 0¢ (toward YES) over the last 24 hours, a 0.0pp shift. Resolution depends on department of labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

• Cross-check the resolution source: Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits — https://www.dol.gov/ui/data.pdf.
• Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.