The market moved

-46.9ppin 24h · now

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on June 5?

Macro · resolves Jun 5 · vol $332.35

Why

Probability fell sharply down to 3¢ (toward NO) over the last 24 hours, a 46.9pp shift. Resolution depends on pyth futures price feed — directional traders may be reading new information from that source.

What to verify

  • Cross-check the resolution source: Pyth futures price feed — https://pythdata.app/explore?search=WTI.
  • Read recent large-trade flow on Orrery's market page — $5k+ trades show up alongside the move so you can tell if size is following the price or fading it.
  • Market resolves in 2.1h — late-stage moves are often settlement positioning, not new information.
share-card v2Public Polymarket data · no editorial.