Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved NO

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Arizona announce the incorrect winner was declared for the 2020 US Presidential Election in Maricopa County by July 20?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with NO price dominant.

Probability

0¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

azsos.gov

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jul 20, 2021
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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