Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Illiquid

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will Instants, an Instagram app be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Liquidity is below $1,000 — price discovery is unreliable.

Probability

2¢

24h volume

$44.95

Source path

to the iOS app, ranked #2 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 6, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
Create alertOpen marketPolymarket