Orrery Resolution Risk

Price is not settlement.

Pinned near NO

A market pinned near 0¢ or 100¢ can still be officially unresolved.

Market

Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 21 be at least 100?

YES price is near 0¢ but the market has not been officially resolved.

Probability

1¢

24h volume

$853.40

Source path

to the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported fo

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Jun 5, 2026
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source has published the result, not just that the price moved.
  • 04Check whether the market wording excludes overtime, penalties, dates, or edge cases.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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