Orrery Resolution Risk

Resolution path looks readable.

Resolved YES

Still verify the source before repeating a market price as an outcome.

Market

Will weekly jobless initial claims exceed 220k for the week ending October 8?

Upstream marked the market closed/settled with YES price dominant.

Probability

100¢

24h volume

$0.00

Source path

Department of Labor that counts people filing to receive unemployment insurance benefits

Price can be useful context, but settlement depends on the contract wording and source path.

What to verify

  • 01Expiry: Oct 13, 2022
  • 02UMA status: not reported
  • 03Confirm the source still matches the exact market wording.
  • 04Treat this as research context, not trade advice.
not trade advicePrice is not settlement.
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