0x00000001636b011b7f863a8f537dfdb82fe3bedd
0x00000001636b011b7f863a8f537dfdb82fe3bedd
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
156
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.4K
Realised
$-3.5K
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 156- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
2165 shares @ 19.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-423.94
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
2016 shares @ 90.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
1195 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-100.90
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
1049 shares @ 50.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-532.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
986 shares @ 94.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-931.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
972 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-758.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
959 shares @ 34.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-327.36
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
888 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-799.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
888 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-372.94
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
883 shares @ 92.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-814.92
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$265.27Jul 21, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$150.43Jul 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$15.36Jul 21, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$17.25Jul 21, 20:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$74.76Jul 21, 10:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET$68.03Jul 21, 10:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$8.19Jul 21, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET$5.57Jul 21, 09:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.05Jul 21, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$316.71Jul 20, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET$215.36Jul 20, 20:30 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$665.00Jul 20, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$19.28Jul 20, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$349.05Jul 20, 15:30 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.21Jul 20, 00:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$460.00Jul 19, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$266.80Jul 19, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$136.45Jul 19, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$56.18Jul 19, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$34.66Jul 19, 08:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
41/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $69.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.