Legitimate-Rent
0x000324b9f1624702e3d2c026fd023222f2189f7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
173
Open notional
$33.02
Total PnL
$-172.66
Realised
$3.66
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 173- YES
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
38 shares @ 8.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.38
$-0.62
- YES
China coup attempt before 2027?
51 shares @ 5.9¢·now 3.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.97
$-1.03
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
143 shares @ 1.4¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.79
$-0.21
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
374 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.31
$-3.69
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
48 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4 shares @ 24.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- OVER
France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- YES
Will Xi Jinping purge Wang Yi in 2026?
23 shares @ 8.6¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.01
$-0.99
- OVER
France vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- FRANCE
Spread: France (-2.5)
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 55.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYColombia vs. DR Congo: DR Congo O/U 3.5 Corners$1.02Jun 22, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: O/U 9.5 Total Corners$1.02Jun 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Panama O/U 3.5 Corners$1.02Jun 22, 07:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYPanama vs. Croatia: Croatia O/U 5.5 Corners$1.01Jun 22, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Ghana: Ghana O/U 2.5 Corners$1.02Jun 22, 07:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 2.5 Corners$1.01Jun 22, 07:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYJordan vs. Algeria: Jordan O/U 3.5 Corners$1.02Jun 22, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: France O/U 7.5 Corners$1.02Jun 22, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 2+ goals$1.02Jun 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKylian Mbappé: 3+ goals$1.03Jun 22, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 1.5$1.92Jun 22, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMNew Zealand vs. Egypt: Egypt O/U 2.5$4.00Jun 22, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Egypt (-1.5)$2.94Jun 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5$1.02Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 5.5$1.02Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Iraq: O/U 6.5$1.03Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-4.5)$1.02Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-3.5)$1.02Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: France (-2.5)$1.01Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMNew Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5$4.00Jun 22, 03:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $1.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.