Few-Actor
0x00064138bab1d8d08f0688c0ecc9dd26eb6e2725
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$83.64
Total PnL
$-99.04
Realised
$0.54
Win rate
33%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Lionel Messi: 3+ shots
22 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$22.22
$11.78
- NO
Lionel Messi: 1+ assists
22 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$21.50
$5.59
- NO
Lamine Yamal: 1+ assists
21 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$21.00
$4.41
- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
6 shares @ 98.1¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.07
$0.07
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6 shares @ 65.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.61
$1.58
- NO
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 96.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.99
$-0.02
- NO
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.55
$0.03
- NO
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
2 shares @ 92.4¢·now 94.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.53
$0.03
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1 shares @ 95.3¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.27
$0.03
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $300M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 93.7¢·now 88.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.91
$-0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$6.00Jul 19, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5$10.34Jul 19, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5$6.56Jul 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5$8.91Jul 19, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?$4.18Jul 19, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMikel Oyarzabal: 2+ shots$11.18Jul 19, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ shots$10.72Jul 19, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 3+ shots$18.06Jul 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYJulián Álvarez: 2+ shots$9.50Jul 19, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ assists$16.12Jul 19, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ assists$16.76Jul 19, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEnzo Fernández: 1+ assists$1.66Jul 19, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win on 2026-07-11?$120.62Jul 19, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-11?$61.52Jul 11, 06:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $160 in June?$1.32Jul 11, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June?$2.17Jul 11, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$6.41Jul 11, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?$14.01Jul 11, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$15.02Jul 11, 06:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in June?$22.07Jul 11, 06:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
21 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $16.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 03:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 03:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.