Mushy-Friendship
0x0009b875103e40ca0783c49917b4c1905a7921e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$17.55
Total PnL
$-3.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
7 shares @ 96.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$7.26
$0.26
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 19?
5 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$5.00
$0.01
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 21?
4 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$4.03
$0.03
- YES
South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?
1 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.27
$0.27
- YES
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?
3 shares @ 68.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?
2 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
1 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 19?$5.00Jan 19, 04:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 21?$3.00Oct 21, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $114,000 on October 21?$1.00Oct 21, 04:11 UTC
- REDEEMTimberwolves vs. Thunder$3.95Jul 29, 07:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$4.78Jul 29, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$5.00Jul 29, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 12, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 12, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSouth Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?$1.00Jun 4, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Jun 4, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Jun 4, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$1.00Jun 4, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00Jun 3, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Thunder$3.00May 28, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.00May 28, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?$1.00May 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals?$1.00May 28, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$1.00May 28, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $1.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 28, 16:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 19, 04:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.