Honest-Dream
0x0012d1001c5abc06298d3c70c5892935ee9b8672
Wallet digest
Activity score
29/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
137
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-379.35
Realised
$-42.50
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 137- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on April 25?
916 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2026$0.00
$-36.08
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
58 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-57.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 26?
36 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
20 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
20 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-19.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 27?
16 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.11
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 26?
14 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$43.95Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$10.00Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$43.51Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$9.91Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$7.00Jul 28, 08:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$6.93Jul 28, 08:40 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$7.00Jul 28, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$6.81Jul 28, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$5.00Jul 27, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$4.95Jul 27, 22:50 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$10.00Jul 27, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$9.91Jul 27, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down - July 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$7.00Jul 24, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$5.58Jul 24, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - July 24, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$1.35Jul 24, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$75.00Jul 24, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$15.00Jul 24, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$74.25Jul 24, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - July 24, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$14.85Jul 24, 13:15 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - July 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$10.00Jul 21, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
26/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $32.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 22:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.