Unlawful-Complication
0x001414db21083604a1ab2566d252358cb741f3ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$12.09
Total PnL
$-115.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
12 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$12.09
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on February 1?
1050 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will MrBeast's video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?
940 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 23?
550 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.10
- NO
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
525 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.10
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 7?
317 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$12.10Jul 17, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12?$91.09Jun 12, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 12?$91.00Jun 11, 11:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$5.00May 27, 23:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$85.09May 26, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$85.00May 26, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 26?$1.07May 26, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$5.00May 26, 10:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$91.09May 23, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?$91.01May 22, 12:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$67.07May 20, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$2.10May 19, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 20?$67.00May 19, 13:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$93.09May 13, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 13?$93.01May 13, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9?$92.09May 13, 12:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 9?$92.01May 8, 11:06 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 6?$2.00May 8, 11:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 6?$91.09May 8, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 6?$2.00May 6, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $58.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 19, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 10:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.