Joint-Horn
0x00176719cceed4c581a89fb1f4c32438493b425f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$17.75
Total PnL
$12.69
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill annual inflation increase by 2.7% in July?$3.08Jul 18, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$0.00Jun 6, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$0.00Jun 6, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$0.00Jun 6, 09:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Edmonton Oilers win the Western Conference?$1.71May 20, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lee Jae-myung win 50-55% of the vote in the South Korea election?$7.65May 13, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$1.98May 5, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?$3.13Apr 30, 09:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Berachain launch a token in January?$25.02Feb 7, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Berachain launch a token in January?$13.66Jan 31, 12:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Berachain launch a token in January?$11.26Jan 31, 02:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill someone else be inaugurated?$14.47Jan 21, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$15.31Jan 21, 13:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$25.65Jan 21, 13:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$15.30Jan 19, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill someone else be inaugurated?$14.37Jan 19, 05:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be inaugurated?$25.39Jan 19, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$3.88Jan 15, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $97,000 on January 10?$2.64Jan 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the Western Conference?$2.64Jan 8, 20:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.33
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 21:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 18, 00:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.