0x001aededf16ba879d1215db3044eb32df338810b
0x001aededf16ba879d1215db3044eb32df338810b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$79.33
Total PnL
$-570.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
100 shares @ 40.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$72.50
$32.50
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
12 shares @ 82.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$6.83
$-3.17
- YES
Will Eminem be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
19999 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$51.27May 4, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$25.00Apr 20, 22:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$10.00Apr 20, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$10.00Apr 20, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$10.00Apr 20, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$20.00Apr 20, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$100.00Apr 20, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$100.00Apr 20, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$100.00Apr 20, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$64.50Dec 4, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$83.00Dec 4, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$86.00Dec 4, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$72.00Dec 4, 21:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most streamed song globally on Spotify for 2025?$10.00Dec 4, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$10.00Dec 4, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$50.00Dec 4, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: November$200.00Dec 4, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on December 31?$8.70Dec 2, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$2.42Dec 1, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$7.58Dec 1, 10:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $14.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 28, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 20:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".