Unknown-Qualification
0x001d9a5015155c25a4cedacfde28ba79f115b7a5
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-46.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 24?
3000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 30?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the US next strike Iran on February 14, 2026 (ET)?
1800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 8?
1720 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.44
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?
1500 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?
1355 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
950 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.90
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on December 4?
600 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on December 21?
600 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$120.12Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$26.26Jun 12, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$120.01Jun 11, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$26.01Jun 11, 03:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$146.15Jun 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$146.01Jun 7, 01:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?$4.50Jun 7, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$150.50Jun 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$149.07Jun 2, 06:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$149.15May 31, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026?$149.01May 30, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$149.15May 27, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 27?$149.01May 27, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$148.15May 24, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$148.00May 23, 06:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$148.15May 18, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$148.01May 16, 07:52 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$148.15May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$148.00May 13, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$148.15May 12, 19:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
26 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $103.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 3, 01:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 18:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.